Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.003602 0.003777 0.003955 0.004151 0.004361 0.004579 0.004823
2025-02-02 0.003371 0.003643 0.003933 0.004266 0.004638 0.005044 0.005522
2025-02-09 0.003134 0.003453 0.003802 0.004215 0.004691 0.005228 0.005882
2025-02-16 0.002980 0.003335 0.003732 0.004211 0.004780 0.005438 0.006266
2025-02-23 0.002844 0.003223 0.003656 0.004189 0.004835 0.005601 0.006591
2025-03-02 0.002763 0.003169 0.003639 0.004230 0.004962 0.005849 0.007025
2025-03-09 0.002652 0.003072 0.003565 0.004194 0.004986 0.005966 0.007296
2025-03-16 0.002552 0.002982 0.003494 0.004155 0.005002 0.006070 0.007548
2025-03-23 0.002448 0.002882 0.003404 0.004088 0.004976 0.006113 0.007719
2025-03-30 0.002354 0.002792 0.003322 0.004026 0.004952 0.006155 0.007886
2025-04-06 0.002301 0.002748 0.003298 0.004034 0.005018 0.006317 0.008224
2025-04-13 0.002182 0.002619 0.003159 0.003889 0.004872 0.006185 0.008137
2025-04-20 0.002138 0.002585 0.003142 0.003905 0.004947 0.006362 0.008508
2025-04-27 0.002134 0.002600 0.003190 0.004009 0.005146 0.006722 0.009171
2025-05-04 0.002068 0.002535 0.003129 0.003962 0.005133 0.006778 0.009379
2025-05-11 0.002023 0.002495 0.003101 0.003959 0.005180 0.006921 0.009727
2025-05-18 0.001975 0.002449 0.003062 0.003938 0.005200 0.007024 0.010016
2025-05-25 0.001951 0.002434 0.003065 0.003976 0.005306 0.007258 0.010528
2025-06-01 0.001903 0.002385 0.003019 0.003943 0.005304 0.007329 0.010775
2025-06-08 0.001856 0.002337 0.002973 0.003907 0.005298 0.007391 0.011009
2025-06-15 0.001803 0.002278 0.002911 0.003846 0.005249 0.007383 0.011123
2025-06-22 0.001753 0.002223 0.002853 0.003789 0.005205 0.007380 0.011245
2025-06-29 0.001728 0.002201 0.002839 0.003796 0.005259 0.007537 0.011655